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DATA REPORT — APRIL 2026

THE ROADMAN AMATEUR CYCLING
PERFORMANCE REPORT 2026

Where do you actually sit? Percentile benchmarks for FTP, watts-per-kilo, training hours, sportive times, and realistic FTP improvement — for the actively-training amateur road cyclist. Aggregated from public training data, the Coggan power profile, and ~250 Roadman-coached riders.

Free to share with attribution (CC BY 4.0). Updated annually.

3.1 W/kg

Median 35-44 male amateur

Roughly the boundary between fit recreational and competitive amateur.

+15%

Realistic 12-month FTP gain

Typical band for a trained rider on a structured plan.

9 hrs

Weekly training to race competitive sportives

Far less than most riders assume. Quality > volume.

~5%

FTP loss per decade after 35

Untrained. Coached masters routinely beat this.

01 — FTP BY AGE GROUP

ABSOLUTE POWER BY AGE

Functional Threshold Power — roughly the wattage you can sustain for an hour. Numbers are absolute watts for the actively-training amateur male cyclist. Use the W/kg table below to interpret these against bodyweight.

HIGHLIGHT YOUR AGE:
FTP percentiles by age group, watts
AGE25TH50TH (MEDIAN)75TH90TH
18-24195W240W290W340W
25-34200W245W295W345W
35-44195W235W285W335W
45-54180W220W270W315W
55-64165W200W245W285W
65+145W175W215W250W
Read the table: a 42-year-old at the median (50th percentile) of our actively-training cohort has an FTP of ~235W. The 90th percentile sits at 335W — that's competitive Cat 3 territory.

02 — W/KG BY AGE GROUP

POWER-TO-WEIGHT BY AGE

W/kg is the better predictor of how you'll feel on a climb than absolute watts. ~3.0 W/kg is roughly fit recreational; 4.0 W/kg sits around competitive amateur (Cat 3); 4.5+ is regional Cat 2. Bands are calibrated against the Coggan power-profile categories.

HIGHLIGHT YOUR AGE:
W/kg percentiles by age group
AGE25TH50TH (MEDIAN)75TH90TH
18-242.63.23.94.6
25-342.73.34.04.7
35-442.53.13.84.5
45-542.32.93.54.2
55-642.12.63.23.8
65+1.92.32.83.3

03 — TRAINING HOURS BY GOAL

HOW MANY HOURS DO YOU ACTUALLY NEED?

Less than most riders assume. The bands below cover what we see across goals — finishing a sportive, racing one competitively, or holding the bunch at Cat 4 / Cat 3. Quality and structure beat raw volume long before the 15-hour mark.

TypicalStretch / build phase

SPORTIVE COMPLETION

4-7h/wk

Get round a 100-160km sportive feeling strong, not broken. Goal is finishing comfortably, not racing.

Typical weekly TSS: 300-450

SPORTIVE COMPETITIVE

7-10h/wk

Race the back third of an Etape, Marmotte, or Fred Whitton. Targeting a top-25% finish or a personal time.

Typical weekly TSS: 500-700

RACING CAT 4

8-12h/wk

Hold the bunch at entry-level road races and crits. Sharper top-end work alongside endurance volume.

Typical weekly TSS: 600-800

RACING CAT 3

10-15h/wk

Compete at regional level — animate races, finish in the bunch, take the occasional result. Demands serious training discipline.

Typical weekly TSS: 750-1000

04 — SPORTIVE FINISH TIMES BY DIFFICULTY

AVERAGE FINISH TIMES BY EVENT TIER

Aggregated from published timing results at representative events — Wicklow 200, Etape Caledonia, Fred Whitton, Etape du Tour, Marmotte. Times include feed-station stops. Use them to set a realistic target.

TIERDISTANCECLIMBING25THMEDIAN75TH90TH

Tier 1

Easy / Local Sportive

50-80km<1,000m3h 303h 002h 352h 15

Tier 2

Standard Sportive

80-120km1,000-1,800m5h 304h 454h 103h 40

Tier 3

Challenging Sportive

120-160km1,800-2,800m7h 306h 305h 404h 55

Tier 4

Marquee / Mountain

160km+2,800m+10h 209h 007h 506h 45

TIER 1 EXAMPLES

Wicklow Lake Loop, local club sportives

TIER 2 EXAMPLES

Etape Caledonia, Tour of Cambridgeshire

TIER 3 EXAMPLES

Wicklow 200, Fred Whitton

TIER 4 EXAMPLES

Etape du Tour, Marmotte, Maratona dles Dolomites

Want a finish-time prediction for a specific event and your current power? Try the Race Time Predictor →

05 — REALISTIC FTP IMPROVEMENT

WHAT'S A REALISTIC GAIN?

Under structured training, with a credible baseline test and consistent execution. The typical band is what most coached riders see; the top quartile combines structure, body composition gains, and proper recovery.

AFTER 3 MONTHS

TYPICAL

+5%-10%

TOP QUARTILE

+10%-18%

First-block 'newbie gains' for previously unstructured riders. Long-trained riders sit closer to the lower end.

AFTER 6 MONTHS

TYPICAL

+8%-15%

TOP QUARTILE

+15%-25%

Beyond the initial spike, a base + build cycle compounds. Body comp and consistency become the rate-limiting step.

AFTER 12 MONTHS

TYPICAL

+12%-20%

TOP QUARTILE

+20%-35%

A full training year, including a peak event and a recovery block. Top quartile usually combines structure, weight loss, and a coach.

METHODOLOGY

HOW THIS REPORT WAS BUILT

We aggregated public training-platform releases and the Coggan power-profile reference, then triangulated against ~250 actively-training riders inside the Roadman community. Every number on this page is indicative — not the output of a single primary academic study.

POPULATION

Actively-training amateur male road cyclists, training a minimum of 4 hours/week for at least 12 months, riding with a power meter or calibrated indoor trainer.

  • Self-identifies as actively training (4+ hrs/week, 12+ months consistent)
  • Rides with a power meter or calibrated smart trainer
  • FTP set within the last 8 weeks via 20-min, ramp, or extended-effort test
  • Bodyweight measured within the same window

SOURCES

  • TRAINERROAD PUBLIC STATE-OF-THE-CYCLIST DATA

    Aggregated FTP and W/kg distributions published annually since 2021 from the TrainerRoad user base.

  • COGGAN & ALLEN POWER PROFILE CATEGORIES

    The reference power-to-weight bands underpinning the W/kg interpretation in this report (Training and Racing with a Power Meter, 3rd ed.).

  • STRAVA YEAR-IN-SPORT REPORTS (2022-2025)

    Used for sportive finish-time distributions and weekly volume context across the European amateur cohort.

  • ROADMAN CYCLING COMMUNITY DATA

    ~250 riders across the Not Done Yet paid community and Clubhouse free community with logged FTP, weight, and event results.

  • PUBLISHED TIMING DATA FROM REPRESENTATIVE SPORTIVES

    Wicklow 200, Etape Caledonia, Fred Whitton, Etape du Tour, and La Marmotte official results 2022-2025.

LIMITATIONS — READ BEFORE QUOTING

  • ·Self-reported FTP overstates true threshold by ~5% on average. We've smoothed against measured 20-min tests where available.
  • ·The dataset is heavily male-skewed. Female-cyclist percentile bands run roughly 80-85% of the male values shown; we are gathering data to publish a separate female table.
  • ·Active-trainer bias — riders who use a power meter and structure are stronger than the broader amateur population. Numbers should not be read as 'all cyclists'.
  • ·FTP improvement rates assume a credible starting test. A bad baseline test inflates apparent gains.
  • ·Sportive times include feed-station stops and are weather-dependent — read the bands as ranges, not point estimates.

CITATION

Roadman Cycling. The Roadman Amateur Cycling Performance Report 2026. Version 1.0, 2026-04-28. Available at https://roadmancycling.com/benchmarks.

Licensed CC BY 4.0 — share or reuse with attribution.

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