WHO THIS IS FOR
IS THIS YOU?
The rider chasing a higher ceiling
Your FTP has crept close to your aerobic ceiling and you want to understand what raising the ceiling itself takes.
The data-curious cyclist
Your watch or head unit shows an estimated VO2 max and you want to know what it actually measures and how much to trust it.
THE ROADMAN VIEW
The Roadman view
VO2 max is the headline number everyone knows and few use well. It's a genuine measure — the ceiling on how much oxygen your aerobic system can deliver and burn — and a higher ceiling does mean more potential. But on its own it doesn't win bike races. What you do with the ceiling matters more than the ceiling itself.
The useful way to hold it: VO2 max sets the roof, and your lactate threshold determines how close to that roof you can live. Two riders can share a VO2 max and finish minutes apart over an hour because one holds a far higher fraction of it. That's why we rarely chase VO2 max in isolation — it's developed alongside threshold and a deep aerobic base, not instead of them.
It's also more trainable than the genetic-ceiling story suggests, particularly for amateurs who've never done structured high-intensity work. Done properly, VO2 intervals raise it. But it responds slowly, it's costly in fatigue, and the wearable estimate on your wrist is a rough trend at best. Build the base, train the threshold, add a deliberate dose of VO2 work — and treat the number as one input, not the scoreboard.
EXPERT EVIDENCE
WHAT THE EXPERTS SAY
- Prof. Stephen SeilerExercise physiologist, originator of the polarised-training framework
In the polarised model, VO2-level work is the deliberate hard minority that drives high-end adaptation — effective precisely because it's rationed and ridden fresh. The ceiling is raised by a small, well-placed dose of genuinely hard riding sitting on top of a large aerobic base, not by grinding the comfortably-hard middle.
Hear it: 80/20 Training to Ride Faster | Dr Stephen Seiler
PRACTICAL APPLICATION
DO THIS WEEK
Build the base before chasing the ceiling
VO2 work lands best on top of a deep aerobic foundation. Months of easy volume first; high-intensity intervals second, once the base can support them.
Train it with proper intervals, ridden fresh
VO2 efforts are typically three to five minutes near your maximum sustainable effort, with full recovery between. They only work if you arrive rested enough to hit the target.
Treat the wearable estimate as a trend
Watch and head-unit VO2 max figures are modelled estimates, not lab values. Use the direction of travel over months, not the exact number on any given day.
COMMON MISTAKES
WHAT CYCLISTS GET WRONG
MISTAKEChasing VO2 max in isolation.
FIXThe ceiling matters less than how much of it you can sustain. Develop VO2 max alongside lactate threshold and aerobic base, not as a standalone target.
MISTAKETrusting the wearable number to the decimal.
FIXConsumer VO2 max estimates are approximate and noisy. Read them as a long-run trend, and don't let a daily wobble change your training.
FAQ
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
What is a good VO2 max for a cyclist?
Can you actually improve VO2 max?
What's the difference between VO2 max and FTP?
How do you measure VO2 max accurately?
Why is VO2 max measured per kilogram of body weight?
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