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ROADMAN · EVENT RACE PREDICTOR

Dragon Ride Gran Fondo

Estimate your finish time from FTP, body weight, bike setup, wind, drafting assumptions, and the course profile. The free prediction gives you a realistic range; the Race Report turns it into a pacing and fuelling plan.

154 KM1,763 M GAIN3 CLIMBSTARMAC MIXED

COURSE PROFILE

The shape of the day

400m800m1200m0km38km77km115km154kmCAT3 · 7.9KM @ 4.4%CAT2 · 7.1KM @ 5.3%CAT2 · 6.0KM @ 5.8%

WHY PREDICT THIS RACE

  • See whether your target power is realistic before the start line.
  • Model wind direction and group-riding assumptions instead of using a flat average speed.
  • Get a confidence range so the number stays useful when race-day conditions shift.
  • Upgrade to a Race Report for segment pacing, fuelling, equipment notes, and race-week priorities.

CLIMBS · KEY SECTIONS

Where the prediction earns its keep

Climb 1

7.1 km

5.3% avg · 379 m gain

Climb 2

7.9 km

4.4% avg · 351 m gain

Climb 3

6.0 km

5.8% avg · 349 m gain

EVENT PREDICTION FAQ

What riders usually want to know

How does the Dragon Ride predictor work?

It combines the saved Dragon Ride route profile with your FTP, body weight, bike setup, riding position, surface, wind, and drafting assumptions. The result is a deterministic finish-time estimate with a confidence range, not a guaranteed race-day time.

What data is used for Dragon Ride?

This page uses 154 km of course distance, 1,763 m of elevation gain, detected climbs, and tarmac mixed assumptions. Better route files and more actual rider results will improve future confidence.

What makes the prediction more accurate?

Measured FTP, honest rider weight, realistic bike weight, known tyre/surface choice, accurate wind conditions, and a good estimate of riding position all improve the model. The course is less climb-dominated, so aerodynamics, wind direction, group riding, and steady power become bigger drivers of finish time.

What is in the premium Race Report?

The Race Report turns the free finish-time estimate into a race plan: segment pacing, climb strategy, wind notes, fuelling targets, equipment guidance, biggest time gains, biggest risks, and race-week checklists.

FREE PREDICTION · PREMIUM REPORT

Turn the course into a race-day plan

Start with the free finish-time prediction. If this is an A race, unlock the Race Report for climb pacing, wind strategy, fuelling targets, equipment changes, and the biggest time gains.