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STAGE 16 OF 21Tuesday 21 July

Évian-les-BainsThonon-les-Bains

Individual Time Trial26.1 KM

The Tour's only individual time trial, on the shores of Lake Geneva, comes deep in the third week. A rolling 26km against the clock that can rewrite the GC with everyone already tired.

KEY CLIMBS

Côte de Larringes

9.4 km · 4.3% avg

THE TACTICAL READ

WHO IT SUITS

The GC time-trialists — a Remco Evenepoel or a Pogačar against the clock — and the pure specialists chasing a stage win. Deep in week three, fatigue widens every gap.

WHAT TO WATCH

How much the climbers have left. A rolling 26km with everyone already tired can turn a 20-second deficit into a minute, or rescue a leader who can ride a bike against the clock.

ROADMAN PREDICTION

The biggest single reshaping of the GC outside the high mountains. The best time-trialist among the favourites takes serious time; a climbing leader who cannot follow may see the Tour slip away.

THE ROADMAN TAKE

WHAT THIS STAGE DEMANDS

A time trial is pacing made visible — go out too hard and the last 10km collapse. The winning effort is even or very slightly negative-split, held just at threshold, with the discipline to not chase the early split. It is the most coachable discipline in the sport: hold your number and trust it.

WHAT ALEX DOWSETT WOULD PUSH

A multi-time national TT champion, his rule is to pace by power and feel, not by the clock — start in control, build into it, and never let an early time check pull you over your limit.

TRAIN FOR IT

The Roadman content that builds what Stage 16 asks for.