WHO THIS IS FOR
IS THIS YOU?
Data-driven riders who want to identify their limiters
You have months of power data and want to know whether you should be working on VO2max, threshold, or sprint power to make the biggest gains.
Riders choosing target events and wanting to play to their strengths
Your curve profile can tell you whether you are suited to flat road races, hilly sportives, time trials, or criteriums based on where your power excels.
THE ROADMAN VIEW
The Roadman view
The power duration curve is the most underused tool in amateur cycling. Most riders obsess over a single number — their FTP — when the curve tells a far richer story. It shows you exactly where your engine excels and where it falls short, and that information should drive your training priorities.
The practical application is simple: look at where your curve dips relative to the modelled prediction. If your 5-minute power is weak relative to your FTP, VO2max intervals will give you the biggest return. If your 1-minute power is strong but your 20-minute power is low, your aerobic engine needs more attention. Let the data direct the training rather than doing a bit of everything.
EXPERT EVIDENCE
WHAT THE EXPERTS SAY
- Dr Andrew CogganCo-developer of the power profiling system
The power duration curve is effectively a fingerprint of a rider's physiology. By comparing the shape of the curve to population norms and to the rider's own history, coaches can identify the specific energy systems that are limiting performance and prescribe training with precision rather than guesswork. The curve also reveals whether a rider's training has been appropriately varied or whether they have been neglecting certain durations.
PRACTICAL APPLICATION
DO THIS WEEK
Generate your power duration curve in your analysis software
In Intervals.icu, TrainingPeaks, or WKO5, plot your power duration curve for the last 90 days. Compare it to your all-time best curve. Identify the durations where the 90-day curve sits closest to and furthest from the all-time bests. The biggest gaps represent either detraining or untapped potential.
Identify your phenotype from the curve shape
A rider with a steep left side and rapid drop-off is a sprinter type. A rider with a flatter curve that holds well beyond 20 minutes is a diesel. Most amateur riders fall somewhere in between. Knowing your phenotype helps you choose events that suit your profile and prioritise training that addresses your specific limiters.
Target training at your weakest durations
If your 3-5 minute power dips below the modelled curve, add VO2max intervals (3-5 minute efforts at 106-120% FTP). If your 30-60 minute power is the weakness, increase threshold and sweet spot work. If the right-hand tail drops sharply, your aerobic base needs more long, steady riding. Re-check the curve after 6-8 weeks to measure the response.
COMMON MISTAKES
WHAT CYCLISTS GET WRONG
MISTAKEOnly looking at peak power numbers without considering the curve shape.
FIXA single peak power value tells you little. The relationship between durations — how quickly power declines from 1 minute to 5 minutes to 20 minutes — reveals your physiology. Study the shape, not just the peaks.
MISTAKEComparing your curve to professional cyclists.
FIXProfessional power duration curves exist in a completely different range. Compare against your own history and against age/weight-matched norms. The goal is to improve your curve relative to yourself, not to match a World Tour rider.
MISTAKENot refreshing data across all durations.
FIXIf you never do maximal 1-minute or 5-minute efforts, those sections of your curve will look artificially weak because the data is stale. Periodically test across key durations (5s, 1min, 5min, 20min) to keep the curve current.
FAQ
FREQUENTLY ASKED QUESTIONS
What software shows my power duration curve?
How much data do I need for a reliable curve?
Does the curve change with age?
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